HEXUS.sharewatch: The rich get richer

by Scott Bicheno on 21 April 2008, 09:05

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The last HEXUS.sharewatch was on 4th April. Despite the fact that the sub-prime crisis has kept throwing-up further pieces of bad-debt bile, the Dow and NASDAQ have both posted modest gains since then.

So there is little need to adjust for the overall economy in analysing share-price movements this time; a drop, even in relative terms, is indeed a drop.

Among the gainers, Google was the big winner after it reported better than expected quarterly earnings. Reports that there was a slowing in the growth of clicks on Google ads had led to a big drop in its share price since the start of the year. The earnings news implies this was an over-reaction.

In the strange way these things do, the Google news will have had a positive effect on other tech stocks, although the news that US PC sales aren’t being as negatively affected by the recession many people already assume the US to already be in has helped. Other gainers include Apple, IBM and Intel.

Apple’s quarterly earnings announcement is due this week, but so are those of Microsoft and Yahoo!. This could get interesting as, if Yahoo! underperforms, this will weaken the incumbent board’s position further and put more pressure on them to capitulate or face a proxy fight.

If Yahoo! underperforms, this will weaken the incumbent board’s position further and put more pressure on them to capitulate or face a proxy fight

AMD’s further trials and tribulations don’t seem to have had too much of an effect on its share price, but it had really better show some improvement in its product execution soon.

When a CEO launches a broadside against a company that is both twelve times bigger than his and a key partner, it’s hardly surprising to see his company’s share price drop – and this is exactly what has happened to NVIDIA.

The big loser in our list, however, was distributor Avnet, which reported below expectation quarterly earnings. Roy Vallee, chairman and CEO of Avnet, said in the report: ‘We are extremely disappointed with our earnings as a confluence of issues contributed to a very difficult quarter.’

 

Company Listing Share Price 4/2/08 Share Price 28/3/08 Share Price 2/4/08 Share Price 18/4/08 16-day change Market cap (bn)
AMD AMD 7.92 5.91 6.19 6.11 -1.3% 3.70
Apple AAPL 131.65 143.01 147.49 161.04 9.2% 141.53
Avnet AVT 35.90 32.62 33.67 27.54 -18.2% 4.14
Dell DELL 20.02 19.61 19.95 19.47 -2.4% 39.76
Google GOOG 495.43 438.08 465.7 539.41 15.9% 169.24
HP HPQ 44.06 46.09 47.23 48.18 2.0% 118.78
IBM IBM 107.93 114.57 114.61 124.40 8.5% 172.21
Ingram Micro
IM 17.96 15.59 16.00 16.81 5.1% 2.94
Intel INTC 21.2 20.79 21.85 22.55 3.2% 130.22
Microsoft MSFT 30.19 27.91 29.16 30.00 2.9% 279.21
NVIDIA NVDA 26.02 19.68 20.36 19.02 -6.6% 10.55
Tech Data
TECD 34.60 32.88 32.66 33.39 2.2% 1.76
Dow .DJI 12800.18 12216.40 12608.92 12849.36 2.0% NA
NASDAQ .IXIC 2382.85 2261.18 2361.40 2402.97 1.8% NA

*All prices are those at close of trading on the date specified.

 



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