Trading places
Independent app store GetJar has published the results of a survey of 300 developers into which mobile platforms they are focusing on.
Right now 80 percent of devs are working on on iPhone stuff, butonly 55.6 percent of them expect to be developing for the iPhone in six months time. There is a converse swing for Android, with more developers expecting to be working on that platform in future. Here's the summary of the findings.
- IOS: Today 80% -> Six months from now 55.6%
- Android: 51.2% Today -> 58% six months from now
- IOS iPad: 59% Today -> 52% six months from now
- Android Tablet: 20.5% Today -> 47% six months from now
As you can see from the table, around a quarter of those surveyed expect to be developing for WP7 in six months, well up from the nine percent currently working on it. Interest in web-based apps also looks solid, but the challenges faced by BlackBerry and WebOS are clear.
It's now generally accepted that strong third-party developer support is crucial to the success of a mobile platform. That's why BlackBerry is perceived to be struggling, as is webOS, and one of the main reasons Nokia gave up on both Symbian and MeeGo.
In commenting on yesterday's big news about Google buying Motorola, Mark Mason, founder of developer Mubaloo included the following:
"From a development point of view, fragmentation issues have prevented end users from receiving the same level of user experience that you find on iOS or Windows Phone. Developers have to programme apps to utilise the various tweaks from keyboard layout, SoC, screen size and resolution in order to work across the wide variety of Android devices. The news today could signal Google's recognition of this widespread issue. Following Apple and Microsoft's strategy of having control of device and OS design could be a real boost for quality development on Android."
If fragmentation was scaring developers away from Android, and the Moto deal helps to standardise the platform a bit more, then Android's gains could be set to accelerate further.