AMD and Intel; diverging fortunes

by Mark Tyson on 10 July 2012, 17:16

Tags: AMD (NYSE:AMD), Intel (NASDAQ:INTC)

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Intel invests $4.1 billion

Earlier today we wrote about the latest big investment by Intel – a $4.1 billion stake in ASML, a Dutch semiconductor company. This investment should help hasten Intel along its roadmap, possibly as much as two full years of development time has been saved. The ASML collaboration will bring smaller process sizes and large wafers into play quicker for Intel, cutting costs and the time to advance chip miniaturisation technology.

AMD revenue forecast reversal

AMD had a sticky Q1 and the Q2 results are due out nine days from now (19th July). However the company has pre-empted the results with a revised revenue forecast statement. The previously forecast rise in revenue has been reversed to become an 11 per cent drop.

Shares in AMD are currently down ten per cent due to the market reaction to the news of “weaker than expected sales”. AMD shares have declined over 40 per cent in value since March. Soft demand for AMD parts is blamed for the decline. The pre-results announcement statement said “business conditions that materialized late in the second quarter, specifically softer-than-expected channel sales in China and Europe as well as a weaker consumer buying environment impacting the company’s [manufacturing] business”.

Some news that may offset the weaker demand, for now, is AMD’s reduction of operating expenses by eight per cent this quarter. However with the PC market in decline and AMD Trinity APUs still months away from launch for desktop PCs Intel has been dominating the PC market with Ivy Bridge chips and Ultrabook laptops. Citigroup analysts told Reuters that “We suspect second quarter marks the worst quarter of the year (for AMD), exacerbated by the impact of Intel's Ivy Bridge launch”. An analyst from JP Morgan added candidly that AMD “will likely remain under pressure due to its low market share and Intel's superior products.”


Will the divergence continue?

As above, we know that Intel has been investing seriously in long term plans to get process size down and wafer size up to bring us smaller, faster and cheaper processors. Also Intel has been jealously looking at the mobile triumphs of ARM and is actively developing processors for the expanding mobile market.

AMD has had to appeal more to the value end of the PC desktop and laptop market since Intel’s Sandy Bridge chips appeared. The current AMD APUs on offer may offer a useful balance between CPU power and GPU acceleration but haven’t snared the public’s imagination or budgets. It’s good to have a choice of competing manufacturers from whom to buy CPUs and chipsets so we hope AMD can come back strongly and a revived company can compete with Intel more closely in the future.



HEXUS Forums :: 22 Comments

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It does seem the problem is AMD don't compete at the top end and a lot of people think that is right down the line.

Currently I am stuck between an FX8150 and 3570k the problem being my PC is split usage of video editing and gaming but I can see why many just go Intel.

As mentioned above it is strange that people are jumping on the apu's, I know I have my netbook is using a C50 and my HTPC is using a 3870k both are perfect for the purpose.
People are buying the APU's, considering how many I sell that much is obvious. However, the prices are so ridiculously low now. You can get a 3870K on Scan for 90 quid with a tenner cashback.
It will be interesting to see which segments of their business are doing the worst IMHO.

There is noise that China's economy is slowing down:

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/05/11/business/global/china-trade-growth-slumps-in-april.html?pagewanted=all

China is one of the biggest markets for the current AMD APUs,so that might explain the problems. OTH,if Intel and Nvidia don't show a slow down too in sales,it is not so good for AMD overall.

Hopefully,their newer products which can fit in a wider range of form factors will help them in the next few months.
Unfortunately this is the consequence of a monopoly that has engaged in anti-competitive practises for years. The money of Intel was always going to defeat AMD. When they had the technological edge they were unable to break the strangle hold on the market that had materialised due to manipulation of sales terms and it has been a steady decline for them from there.
Yeah, it's a real shame. I certainly still consider AMD if I was to build a budget PC, but in every other respect, I just turn to Intel.

I really hope that they get back with the program soon, and give Intel a bloody nose again like they used to. Certainly their GPUs are still very, very competitive at the high end - unbelievably pleased with my 7970!